Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Epicenter has just recently won the Risen Star stakes by about three lengths with a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 points. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. . The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? With Rich Strike and Zandon defecting, it opens the door for the Derby runner-up to dip below 2-1, which is unusually short for a non-Derby winner. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Longtime Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer created the Beyer Speed Figures, first appearing in his groundbreaking handicapping book Picking Sportsbooks in 1975. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. }. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. It doesn't lack for storylines either with Kentucky Derby sensation Rich . Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. I've got a good ownership group. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Pedigree: Olympiad is from the 13th crop of 2004 champion sprinter Speightstown, by Gone West. Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. 107. He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. . background-color: #104E8B; Messier (7-1), Zandon (8-1), and Mo Donegal (8-1) are other top 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders according to oddsmakers. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. The Win and Youre In Challenge Series offers the winners of specific individual races an expenses-paid starting spot for corresponding Breeders Cup races, and this blog will periodically take a closer look at one promising prospect. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. Holy Bull earned a 121 in his career. So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. Chance of rain 100%. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. Trade. Barring any major surprises, Epicenter will be the favorite for the Preakness Stakes when the gates open on Saturday. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . It is done, and has always been done, by human beingsBeyer and Mark Hopkins, and their six associates. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. .tableizer-table td { APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. Module One, GlobalFoundries, Wilschdorfer Landstrae 101, Dresden, 01109 Germany . with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. 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The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. border: 1px solid #CCC; 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; He said Monday that he had not picked out a next start for the colt and was not in any hurry to do so. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. . We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. Considering how poorly the Gazelle entrants ran in the Kentucky Oaks, it seems that the Gazelle was painfully weak this year, making the Wood look better than it really was. To me, he's a gift.. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. Sell. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. Only four contenders in this year's prospective Derby field have a Beyer Speed Figure within five points of co-tops Taiba and Messier:Epicenter with a 102 and Zandon, Zozos and Simplification, each of whom have a 98 Beyer to their credit. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. . On the Beyer scale, the top stakes horses in the United States and Canada typically earn numbers in the 100s, while extremely strong performances can rate in the 120s. . We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Each week, we will analyze the top maiden winners by Beyer performances. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. If the download does not complete, Click Here. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. 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